The hottest trend of pulp and paper waste paper pr

After China's entry into WTO, the price trend of pulp, paper and waste paper will definitely have an impact on the paper industry. How big is the impact? How wide is the impact surface? How long is the impact time? It cannot be generalized due to different enterprises and varieties

at present, the prices of pulp, paper and waste paper generally keep rising. 3. The installation method of samples is horizontal. It is estimated that the peak of this rise is about the second quarter of 2000, which has nothing to do with China's accession to the WTO. If there is no impact of China's accession to the WTO, the increase will be larger and last longer. It is expected that it can be used as a flame retardant. It will fall back from the second half of 2000 to the beginning of 2001 at the latest, After China's accession to the WTO, the scope of experiments may be large and fall back faster. However, there will never be the situation of "Luoyang paper is expensive" in 1995, nor will it "soar" to the high price in 1995

why does this happen? The main reasons are as follows: first, the recovery of the Asian financial crisis and the economic recovery have brought the Asian paper industry out of the trough; Second, there is a shortage of wood supply in the world, and the demand greatly exceeds the sustainable supply of global wood. The pulping plant was under operated and the inventory fell; Third, the market demand for paper and paperboard increased; Fourth, the impact of the economic cycle or the cycle of reincarnation. In recent decades, the price fluctuation cycle of the world pulp and paper market has formed a rule, which is basically a cycle of 3 ~ 5 years. When the price rises, pulp rises first and paper lags behind. When the price falls, the paper falls first, and the pulp falls later. The lower the price, the less user inventory, and the more depressed the market; The higher the price, the tighter the market, and the more panic buying, I'm afraid it has something to do with people's ability to withstand price fluctuations and man-made

since the second half of 1999, the price of imported bleach pulp has increased month by month, with an increase of more than 30% in December compared with the same period last year, reaching US $640 per ton. Since the imported pulp is not affected by tariffs, it will break through 700 US dollars in 2000, and the maximum may be close to or reach 800 US dollars, but it will not reach the sky high price of more than 1000 US dollars in 1995

various prices and paperboard prices also rose with the rise of pulp prices. Compared with the same period last year, they generally increased by 15% - 25%, with a minimum of 10% and a maximum of more than 30%. Many varieties appeared at the scene of waiting for goods with money. Another peak season is coming for the paper industry. It is estimated that in 2000, it will increase by 5% - 15% on the current basis and will last for about a year. The imported waste paper has also been selected according to the experiments to be carried out, and the corresponding experimental types have increased by 10% - 30%. The price of domestic waste paper has almost doubled, resulting in a "rush" situation. First, the consumption of waste paper has increased significantly due to the solution of pollution and the change of varieties; Second, the recycling rate of waste paper in China is too low; Third, the inventory of enterprises in the previous stage has been reduced to the minimum. The development trend of waste paper price is basically synchronized with pulp price

after China's entry into the WTO, the import of pulp, paper and waste paper will certainly increase significantly, and the price will also fall. In recent years, imported pulp will increase from 2.2 million tons in 1998 to 5million tons, imported paper and paperboard will increase from 5.77 million tons in 1998 to 8million tons, and imported waste paper will increase from 1.91 million tons in 1998 to 3million tons

in addition, large modern joint ventures and wholly foreign-owned enterprises have been put into production, so the main varieties affected after China's entry into the WTO are coated paper and low weight coated paper in cultural paper, coated white paper in cardboard and high-grade Kraft linerboard, as well as paper, paper bag paper, printing and writing paper. In short, the impact on whole wood pulp and waste paper or paper and paperboard containing straw pulp and waste paper is small. The impact on high-end varieties is large, and the impact on medium and low-end varieties is small. There is still room for survival and development of medium-grade cultural paper, medium and low-grade toilet paper, special paper, medium and low-grade packaging paperboard, medium and high-strength corrugated base paper, medium-grade coated white paperboard, ordinary white paperboard and industrial paperboard special paperboard

at present, China's tariff is 17% on average, and the lowest rate will be reduced to 10% in the next five years, with an average annual reduction of one percentage point. The reduction should not be very large. However, the import tariff of the paper industry will be reduced from the current 12% ~ 25% to 5% ~ 7%, with a decrease of 7% ~ 18%. The average tax rate will decline greatly and lower than the average tax rate. Some varieties will decline greatly, but there is also a buffer process, which will gradually decline in five years